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2026年智能手机市场预计下滑14%！三星有望重返全球第一_我的网站

一 |     8月24日消息，今日，市场调查机构Counterpoint Research发布报告称，受零部件成本上涨、低价位产品供应减少以及消费者购买力减弱等因素影响，2026年全球智能手机出货量预计同比下降14.3%。

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    Photo: Courtesy of the Shanghai Lexicographical Publishing HouseChina has unveiled the world's first comprehensive reference dictionary for the study of ancient bamboo and silk manuscripts, a discipline that has grown from early 20th-century archaeological discoveries into an international field spanning archaeology, history, law and paleography. Experts said this publication has closed a century-old academic gap in systematic scholarship in one of East Asia's most vital ancient textual disciplines. 
Published by the Shanghai Lexicographical Publishing House, the Dictionary of Bamboo and Silk Manuscript Studies is the world's first large-scale, authoritative lexicon to fully systematize global research on China's ancient bamboo slips, wooden tablets and silk manuscripts, the publishing house told the Global Times on Monday.
"Before paper was widely adopted, bamboo and wooden slips were China's most crucial carrier of writing, bearing the inheritance of Chinese civilization for thousands of years," Feng Shengjun, chief editor of the dictionary and vice president of the Chinese Society for the Study of Ancient Writing, told the Global Times.
"Major excavations of bamboo and silk relics have always been groundbreaking events in academic circles. By sorting out and interpreting these precious unearthed documents in a standardized dictionary form, we make the historical development of Chinese civilization clearer and more complete," Feng added, underscoring the book's foundational academic and cultural value.
The dictionary contains more than 9,000 entries and over 600 color illustrations and images. Entries cover the theory of bamboo and silk manuscript studies, excavated texts, manuscript forms and institutions, scholars and works, and preservation and research. 
Before paper became widespread, bamboo and wooden slips, along with silk fabrics, were the principal writing materials in China. Originating in the early 20th century with the discovery of Dunhuang bamboo relics, the field has evolved into an internationally recognized scholarly frontier. It integrates archaeology, ancient history, legal systems, paleography, document conservation and multiple other sectors, fueled by successive landmark discoveries including the Shanghai Museum bamboo texts, Tsinghua University bamboo slips, Yuelu Academy Qin Dynasty (221BC-206BC) manuscripts and the famed Mawangdui silk documents, said the publishing house.
    Photo: Courtesy of the Shanghai Lexicographical Publishing HouseFor generations, the fast-growing global discipline lacked a comprehensive, standardized specialized dictionary. More than 60 specialists took part, drawing on the latest Chinese and international research and working through multiple rounds of drafting, editing, review and final revision.
Zhao Hang, editor at the publishing house, told the Global Times that the volume comprehensively incorporates research achievements and academic works by Japanese and South Korean scholars, making it an important resource for foreign scholars who study bamboo and silk manuscripts. 
It is intended for specialists, early-career researchers and general readers interested in early Chinese history. The entries range from theoretical concepts to biographies of leading scholars and descriptions of major excavation sites, with cross-references designed to help readers move across disciplines.
Feng said the volume will support research into the politics, laws, economics, military affairs, thought, science and technology, ethnic groups and social life of ancient China. It will also help standardize terminology across different scholarly traditions.
The publication is part of broader state-backed efforts to advance ancient script research and document the continuity of Chinese civilization. It aims to help make texts written more than 2,000 years ago "core material evidence" for interpreting a continuous 5,000-year Chinese civilization. For the field, it added, the dictionary is a landmark in a century of bamboo and silk manuscript studies.
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三 |     Counterpoint预计，2027年全球智能手机市场仍将面临较大挑战，出货量或进一步下降1.4%，随后市场有望从2028年开始逐步恢复。    报告指出，本轮智能手机市场下行主要由供应链和成本压力推动，而需求端则呈现明显分化。    其中，高端智能手机市场仍保持相对稳健，大众市场则成为此次下滑的主要承压区间。    供应端方面，手机存储仍是当前主要制约因素之一，同时芯片价格上涨也在持续影响高端、中端以及传统产品平台。     Counterpoint认为，此轮成本上涨对低价位智能手机的冲击尤为明显。    由于零部件成本在低价位产品物料清单（BOM）中的占比更高，厂商通过自身利润消化成本上涨的空间有限，因此低价位产品的出货量预计将受到更大影响。    为应对成本压力，手机厂商正在采取提高售价、削减低利润配置，以及将资源集中到更少的产品和重点市场等策略。    值得注意的是，本轮市场下行还可能重塑全球智能手机市场竞争格局。    Counterpoint预计，三星有望在2026年重新夺回全球智能手机市场第一的位置。     数据显示，2026年三星智能手机出货量预计同比增长约0.8%，在全球市场整体预计下滑14.3%的背景下实现逆势增长。    三星能够保持相对稳健的表现，与其广泛的全球市场布局、完善的供应链体系，以及在存储和半导体零部件供应方面更稳定的获取能力有关。    Counterpoint Research首席分析师表示，三星重返榜首的关键，在于其内部零部件供应能力、丰富的产品组合，以及成熟的运营商和零售合作关系。     这些优势使三星能更加灵活地保障供应、在不同市场之间调配产品，并维持终端供应稳定。    该分析师同时指出，三星可能会为了争夺更多市场份额，在盈利能力方面做出一定让步，但这种取舍仍有望让其在行业下行周期中，相比大多数竞争对手处于更有利的位置。    

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